Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 76.716010 86.128879 95.739574 106.254707 117.404989 128.847447 141.448374
2025-08-10 62.547669 76.162777 90.673115 107.159557 125.249211 144.382233 166.039340
2025-08-17 52.923381 68.708519 86.093394 106.395536 129.207054 153.825975 182.190778
2025-08-24 46.129978 63.482193 83.157987 106.678484 133.626821 163.182423 197.707939
2025-08-31 39.884897 58.179222 79.521796 105.601116 136.017489 169.857784 209.866262
2025-09-07 35.938575 55.211146 78.258590 106.946036 140.895171 179.101861 224.702055
2025-09-14 32.747874 52.858063 77.470095 108.622092 145.966510 188.415960 239.492712
2025-09-21 28.812196 49.198430 74.800510 107.797639 147.897303 193.954051 249.834230
2025-09-28 24.753048 45.016021 71.191318 105.579151 147.961508 197.154875 257.339352
2025-10-05 23.684204 44.811982 72.582630 109.486963 155.348614 208.905636 274.741686
2025-10-12 22.129071 43.783674 72.801029 111.845122 160.797083 218.332581 289.413827
2025-10-19 19.645745 41.205384 70.816847 111.283015 162.570399 223.322356 298.828251
2025-10-26 17.227610 38.542903 68.609037 110.369646 163.889859 227.789210 307.685455
2025-11-02 15.543821 36.861108 67.643730 110.997912 167.081970 234.482025 319.172195
2025-11-09 13.614102 34.595922 65.728338 110.265978 168.478650 238.938174 327.946409
2025-11-16 12.164476 32.976894 64.631641 110.547066 171.101142 244.845425 338.427362
2025-11-23 10.492347 30.789919 62.585568 109.448587 171.884921 248.446466 346.096063
2025-11-30 9.593332 29.890051 62.381712 110.821205 175.821895 255.910619 358.416435
2025-12-07 8.849075 29.199705 62.446087 112.531853 180.177874 263.884240 371.354105
2025-12-14 7.613003 27.407813 60.730243 111.690423 181.150355 267.619568 379.118605
2025-12-21 6.229521 25.101755 58.077971 109.425992 180.172649 268.861520 383.795546
2025-12-28 6.139809 25.545994 59.806588 113.414465 187.486739 280.516099 401.233244
2026-01-04 5.770670 25.327544 60.442589 115.820705 192.691662 289.520811 415.431243